History tells us what will happen next with Brexit and Trump

History tells us what will happen next with Brexit and Trump(medium.com)

19 points by mirzmaster 9 years ago | 10 comments

dsfyu404ed 9 years ago |

You could spin the story the exact opposite way if you want.

Trump is elected. Relations with Russia improve because Trump and Putin can be in the same room long enough to agree that the lines on the map and the exact form of oppressive government in any particular middle eastern nation are mostly irrelevant as long as oil flows through the pipelines and money flows through the banks. Meanwhile Europe comes out better because the post-brexit panic causes the EU to seriously revaluate its immigration and related economic issues which results in meaningful improvement. Increased global prosperity causes China to sideline it's steady encroachment on its neighbors because who cares about some island when being on good business terms with everyone is far more valuable.

There's never a shortage of pessimistic opinions leading up to any change in leadership. The ability to publish any particular one online doesn't make it any more legitimate.

norea-armozel 9 years ago | |

Or a Trump Presidency leads to a world war between China and America since he thinks backing out on trade deals with China is a good idea. But he doesn't seem to realize that China is kept in check by those trade deals since the CCP inner party would rather have their people happy, paid, and fed. A China that's isolated in the world market and without a means to turn a profit on private and state enterprises is a China that has few options that aren't militarist in nature. That means China has plenty of reason to invade Taiwan, Vietnam, and the Philippines without question. Right now, we're pretty lucky China still hasn't a sufficient navy to combat our own but if Trump or his ideological successors take POTUS I can see China just throwing as much man power at the naval problem to kick our asses just as a matter of settling a (nearly) two century old score.

DefaultUserHN 9 years ago | | |

I see. So that's how World World 3 will start - all because Trump refuse to make bad trade deals with China.

DrTung 9 years ago |

It's easy to do a pessimistic forecast:

In order to sway the opinion Trump will need a fake attack on US soil around October, something big and spectacular.

Then join our TTT movement:

"Trump for a third term!"

davidgerard 9 years ago |

Title is "may", not "will".

bbctol 9 years ago | |

It looks like the title's been edited after posting, as the url still says "will"--it's definitely a change in the right direction, as while I think this is a good article, it's certainly a little hyperbolic in its language.

mindcrash 9 years ago |

I also recommend reading the first comment on that Medium article from top to bottom. Hits the nail straight on its head.