Predictions Scorecard

28 points by aficionado 7 years ago | 4 comments

jstanley 7 years ago |

> A flying car can be purchased by any US resident if they have enough money. - No Earlier Than 2036

I'm pretty sure you can already buy a helicopter or even a private jet.

beefman 7 years ago | |

Helicopters and jets aren't street-legal wheeled vehicles.

hliyan 7 years ago |

A few of my own, from various notes jotted down over the years (adjust to to reflect present realities):

A new smartphone form factor -- most likely a smaller, thicker (but less dense) palm-fitting form factor with rounded edges and surfaces: 2020

First commercial lab grown meat product: 2022

First detection of free Oxygen or other signs of life in an extra-solar planetary atmosphere: 2024

Major social upheavals against income inequality in the US and western Europe, with possible economic depression: 2024

Electric vehicle sales overtake gasoline vehicles: 2025

Last coal plant in the world decommissioned: 2030

Next manned lunar landing: 2040

First man on Mars: NIML (due to worldwide socioeconomic decline)

DennisP 7 years ago | |

JUST was hoping to have lab-grown chicken nuggets for sale by the end of 2018, "subject to regulatory considerations."

Regarding Mars, I think at this point it depends more on SpaceX internet satellite profits than on overall socioeconomic conditions.