Air Battery Would Last 2.5s on Machine with 1990's Efficiency(theatlantic.com) |
Air Battery Would Last 2.5s on Machine with 1990's Efficiency(theatlantic.com) |
The Air has a 50 W/h battery. That's 50W for a full hour. So if they are saying that it would last 2.5 seconds, that means the putative 1990s computer would have to consume 60 x 24 x 50 = 72,000 Watts!
Someone at the Atlantic needs to figure out basic math.
i.e. they estimated that it would take 72,000 Watts-worth of 1990s computers to match the processing power of a Macbook Air.
Though that does add further caveats to an already less-than-ideal comparison (as an MBA is not going to last seven hours at 100% CPU load).
If they are going to compare it with computational power, they should also factor in battery development since 1990.
It would take an awful lot of 1990's machines to equal the computing power of a macbook air.
Completely nonsensical, I'll grant you.
A Model 100 was pretty much the opposite of the iPad: great for creative activities (writing, taking notes, programming) but poor for consumption activities.
( I'll need someone to knock up a Twitter reading client in MPW too, pls)
We'd definitely all be driving electric cars today if that happened.
The best (commercial) batteries today are only a few times better than the ones used in electric cars 100 years ago.
From what I can find, an IBM S/390 from the early 1990s could have up to 6 processors and 6 vector coprocessors, up to 9GB of internal storage, and up to 256 fiber-optic links running at 10MB/s (for an total bandwidth of a Thunderbolt port plus a USB 2.0 port).
I don't really know how fast the CPU and RAM were in the IBM mainframe, but I'd suspect the Air's clock speeds are high enough to make up for only having two processors, and the Air's SSD would make it much faster for data sets that don't fit in RAM.
And as for the reliability advantage a mainframe is supposed to have: you could buy several MBAs per month to act as hot-spares for the price of renting the mainframe, and the MBA has a UPS built-in.
So while, Mainframe software is vary efficent the hardware still sucked compared to modern systems. Just think a 1GBit/second Fible Channel did not show up until 1997 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fibre_Channel.
PS: The #5 super computer in June 1993 had 4 cores Processor NEC 400 MHz (6.4 GFlops). http://www.top500.org/system/377 A 999$ mackbook air uses a 1.6GHz dual-core Intel Core i5 processor that would crush it in large part due to that 3 MB L3 cache but also due to being able to do far more in of those cycles.
There, I wrote about iPhones. Now give me my ad revenue.
Still, not a bad yardstick to see how far we've come with respect to computing power per watt - maybe this is why the rate of change is increasing more than exponentially - you have multiple exponential rates converging in a positive feedback system...
Doesn't seem so. Classic Moore : 7h (25200s) / 2.5s ~= 2^14 that places us in - 1.5 years for a power of 2 - 1990.
>more than exponentially - you have multiple exponential rates converging in a positive feedback system...
not really. The system as whole improves with the same exponential rate precisely because all and each of its components improves with the same exponential rate. Exponential rate of CPU and exponential rate of RAM produce the same one exponential rate of the improvement of the whole system comprised of the CPU and the RAM. Exponential rate of the CPU only, for example, would result in much less than the exponential rate for the whole system.