The Long Long Covid Post(thezvi.wordpress.com) |
The Long Long Covid Post(thezvi.wordpress.com) |
1. 25% chance for literal anything at all, sure, why not.
2. 66% reduction from vaccination plus booster (but requires booster)
3. 50% reduction from being asymptomatic early on and then this went up later, combined with asymptomatic cases not being quite totally safe
4. 50% reduction from Omicron only, on precautionary principle
5. 50% reduction for sticking around
6. 0% reduction from the second sticking around reduction because I’m worried about 7. accidentally double-counting somewhere and want to be safe
7. 60% reduction for ‘as bad as all that’ based among other things on my survey
8. 25% reduction for misattribution to give benefit of the doubt
9. 0% impact of good health
That gets us back to a 0.2% chance of Long Covid conditional on first infection, and less than that less for all future ones combined because of immune strengthening.
This quote in particular seems rather ironic in light of the current labor shortage: "Do we see evidence of the types of sweeping changes we’d expect to see if several percent of people are suddenly unable to work? No, we don’t."
It wasn't as bad as the original infection, but on bad days getting up and walking to the kitchen was a real challenge. I was in fairly good health before this, not obese, walked about a mile each day, and now I couldn't walk around my house.
That was 20 years ago.
I suspect this is an important differentiator.
A lot of us who got Covid before the vaccines have lingering issues.