I remember a Twitter thread that basically said that russian economy was dominated by "bullies" that exploit the extractive industries who could strong arm the "nerds" since they could just buy tech abroad if needed.

Now that tech imports are not an option anymore, do you think that the "nerds" can gain an upper hand now? Ok, the likelier option will be that the "bullies" will use threat to maintain the nerd under their control, but a smarter bully could try to be more cooperative to coop the nerds and get an edge over the other bullies.