My instinct was to choose blue, but thinking about it, red is the safer choice with 100% survival rate.
Am wondering if it is the phrasing. For blue it only mentions “live”, but red also mentions “dies”.
> Everyone responding to this poll chooses between a blue pill or red pill.
- if > 50% of ppl choose blue pill, everyone lives
- if not, red pills live and blue pills die
If you choose red pill, you are guaranteed to live. If you choose blue pill, you will die if less than 50% of people also choose blue pill.
One way has a chance to die. The other way has no chance to die. And the safe choice doesn't force anyone else to suffer the fate you avoided. They can and should choose red too.
No one anywhere should pick blue, not because of "stupid, let someone else take the fall" reasons, but because there is no reason for anyone to take the fall, and the benefit from choosing red does not come at the expense of forcing someone else to choose blue.
Basically the scenario was not as well constructed as the asker probably wished.
I think it was perfectly constructed, it showed that 65% of the poll answerers are either illogical or liars.