Idk why people are afraid of a model than forecasts that Trump is still a threat and the election is still close. If anything it’s an important reminder that your opponent poses a threat and you shouldn’t let your guard down.

Certainly history suggests Republicans have done a smart job rigging their fiefdoms to make it difficult for electoral wins for Democrats. It's the same national polling vs state polling that skews the perception.

Still, Biden covered in 2020, so hard keep track of a Biden less outcome.

Are these the same people who went absolutely berserk on him in Oct. 2016 when he adjusted Trumps odds up to 3 in 8?