Decent living standards for 8.5B would require 30% of current resource use(sciencedirect.com) |
Decent living standards for 8.5B would require 30% of current resource use(sciencedirect.com) |
GDP is low compared to many developed countries. But they have an innovative health care system that provides good outcomes with limited resources, inexpensive but healthy diet featuring rice and beans and fresh fruits and vegetables, a devotion to environmental preservation, and energy production almost entirely from renewables with bans on oil and gas exploration.
For these and other reasons, they are one of the Blue Zones where a surprisingly high number of people live to be over 100 years old.
All that said, Blue Zones are fake, driven by cohort effects and poor record keeping. https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/49/27/
EDIT: To make it more clear, I think resource use almost perfectly correlates with spending. One might argue, "But spending on services like plumbers, waiters or therapists doesn't directly consume resources." Yet, when you pay someone for their time, they use that money to buy food, housing, or services from others. This chain continues recursively, ultimately leading to resource consumption.
The authors refuse to elaborate on this claim with specifics. Instead they provide generic statements such as
> We need to actively plan to shift productive capacities away from capital accumulation
and
> To reclaim productive capacities for national development, governments need to use progressive industrial and fiscal policy, public works programmes...
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The first named author wrote an Editorial in the Guardian entitled "Forget 'developing' poor countries, it's time to 'de-develop' rich countries"[0].
I can see where this particular research(er) is headed and with all due respect, I have no interest in following it through to the eventual completion which he makes clear in his editorial in Montly Review (a self-described Socialist magazine) where he eventually comes to the conclusion that Capitalism has done nothing to raise people out of global poverty[1]
> In sum, the narrative that the rise of capitalism drove progress against extreme poverty is not supported by empirical evidence. On the contrary, the rise of capitalism was associated with a notable decline in human welfare
It's abundantly clear this is a preconceived outcome with a paper written around proving it
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[0] https://www.theguardian.com/global-development-professionals....
[1] https://monthlyreview.org/2023/07/01/capitalism-global-pover...
FWIW, I agree that capitalism has helped drive progress and increase human welfare in the past, but I no longer agree that it's currently raising human welfare, even if it's still helping to drive progress. I also think that what we have in the USA is not pure capitalism anyway and without acknowledging that, a real discussion will never be had. A form of socialism already exists here, and people seem to like it.
Life's not fair, the world will never be fair, and no amount of global-equity-fetishism will every make it fair.
equity isn't about everyone having the same things, thinking the same things in an equal sized house; even less being helped to surpass someone...
https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/ind/ind... https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/ind/chi...
It's not self-evident that life is such a zero-sum game that more people necessarily means fewer resources to go around; I'd even venture that the last hundred years of development suggests the opposite.
It's quite possible that more people enables a slew of network effects (such as technology improvements due to more minds attacking a problem, say) that improves everyone's living standards.
Why not specifically reduce the most environmentally egregious things and not just target any economic activity?