Lab leak – True origins of Covid-19(whitehouse.gov) |
Lab leak – True origins of Covid-19(whitehouse.gov) |
Semantics... https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/oct/03/donald-trump...
> you could argue it's not as bad as some flus.
A flu kills at most 50 000 people per year in US. Remind me which flu killed 1+ million in 2 years and cost US 16 trillion bucks?
You could argue that, but you'd be dead wrong. Herman Cain kind of wrong.
Yes, you could argue that, if by "some flus" you mean the Spanish Flu of 1918. But if you are not a demagogue and not trying to twist words and try to compare Covid in 2020 to the flu in 2020, you'd be totally and BRUTALLY wrong.
Let's look at the numbers and do some rudimentary math:
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1124915/flu-deaths-numbe...
6,300 people died of the flu in the US in 2020-2021
Now, let's visit how many people died of Covid in 2020 in the US.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1382334/number-covid-dea...
380,000 people died of Covid in 2020-2021
Now let's divide 380,000/6,300. We get the number 60. That's 60 times more deaths. One could then argue, but with data, that Covid was actually 60 TIMES worse than the flu in 2020.
Now you might say that 6300 deaths in the US during that time were unusually low for flu and go for the average annual number of flu deaths in the US which is about 25,000. Then we do the math and we divide 380,000/25,000, and we get 15.2. That tells you that in 2020 Covid was "only" 15.2 times worse than the flu. You've heard about the 10x programmer, it's apparently significant enough to mention something is 10x more than something else, so what about 15.2x times?
But yeah, generally you are right, it was not as bad as some flus. It didn't kill as many people as the Spanish Flu epidemic in 1918, which is, I am sure, what many people thought of when their favorite demagogue fed them the narrative that it's "not as bad as the some flus".
> I don't think "covid doesn't exist" was ever a widespread position
Enough right-wingers pushed this BS that there are numerous articles fact-checking their unfounded claims.
https://arstechnica.com/science/2021/08/deep-dive-into-stupi...
https://www.reuters.com/article/world/fact-check-the-virus-t...
Enough right-wing figures also pushed the narrative that the vaccine didn't work (they were up to 17x times wrong, especially in the beginning of the pandemic):
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-to-compare-co...
https://abcnews.go.com/Health/red-blue-america-glaring-divid...
So you could argue a lot of things, but the numbers'd always prove you wrong.
But when left put politics above true science then science gets discredited for everybody. And thanks to FOIA everybody knows that this happened with COVID in 2020/21 and far right has this fact to support their "science bad" and various conspiracy talking points for many years.
If we know anything about American fiction, it's that:
- The person walking with their back on the scene is the hero
- The hero is totally justified in whatever they are doing, no need to question their motives, morale or veracity
- An explosion or sunglasses (or both) is imminent
If this wasn't tragic, it'd be actually some (low) quality entertainment.
I remember when lab leak was officially considered a conspiracy theory, and everyone who mentioned or even referenced it should be canceled and shunned.
Also the 2023 "so friggin likely" messages. There has been various stuff dragged out into public by the court actions, leaks and subpoenas that are the hallmark of open science.
>Thus, the risk of dying from Spanish flu was >8 times higher than the risk of dying from COVID-19... https://academic.oup.com/jid/article/229/6/1928/7642231
Also flu may have recently passed covid for current US deaths https://www.unmc.edu/healthsecurity/transmission/2025/02/18/...
obviously in the middle of a pandemic more people will be dying of whatever the pandemic is.
Many scientists were concerned with artificial origin but forced to go with political message and when publishing the proximal origins paper the goal was "disprove lab leak" not find the truth.
Related FB & IG suppression of lab leak mentions by CDC moderation happened all over the world including the UK. I won't duplicate the links but those are reputable sources. Your opinion was shaped by US left.
> Claims vetted by the CDC included whether "COVID-19 is man-made." The CDC told Facebook that it was "theoretically possible, but extremely unlikely."
> For months, it was Meta policy to prohibit users from asserting that the pandemic may have originated from a lab leak. The platform revised this policy around the same time that the above email exchange took place.
The Germans don't have much bias here and recently:
>Germany's foreign intelligence service believed there was a 80-90% chance that coronavirus accidentally leaked from a Chinese lab, German media say. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz7vypq31z7o
which is roughly the odds I'd guess too.
But if you want to argue FINE.
I don't think this is about shunning people like me because no one cares about people like me. It is about shunning scientists and famous people.
How about mainstream US media literally never touched for years the topic that a massive pandemic that caused billions in damage possibly came from an US funded lab in China? Either all scientists were dumb and thought it was impossible, or they all as one agreed to never talk about it, OR some scientists thought it's likely and wanted to talk about it but could not publicly. Almost as if people talking about unwelcome theory were idk how could we call it... shunned?
All US gov needed to say is yes this maybe happened but we are not sure. Instead they doubled down and even published known wrong papers. This discredited science for many years.
https://www.thenation.com/article/society/nih-emails-origin-...
> Unredacted records obtained by The Nation and The Intercept offer detailed insights into those confidential deliberations. The documents show that in the early days of the pandemic, Fauci and Collins took part in a series of e-mail exchanges and telephone calls in which several leading virologists expressed concern that SARS-CoV-2 looked potentially “engineered.” The participants also contemplated the possibility that laboratory activities had inadvertently led to the creation and release of the virus. The conversations convey a sense of anxious urgency and included speculation about the specific types of laboratory techniques that might have caused the virus’s emergence. After roughly a week of debate and data collection, one of the key figures involved in the deliberations characterized the focus of the group’s work as follows: “to disprove any type of lab theory.” Several of the scientists on the calls and e-mails then went on to write and publish “Proximal Origin.” It became one of the best-read papers in the history of science.
There is the matter of trying to prevent the next one. It kind of looks like there were other incidents around the WIV before covid 19 and it was a systemic issue of dangerous research without proper safeguards, and I doubt the WIV was the only lab at it.
There's a bit of an issue that if a researcher makes some dangerous new virus in the lab they get an interesting paper out of it, maybe tenure, and don't worry very much about that it could kill a million people in the one in a thousand chance it escapes. But a one in a thousand chance of a million deaths is still a statistical expectation of a thousand deaths.
