https://www.wired.com/story/theres-a-very-simple-pattern-to-...
"We should be able to do 90 percent of space flying [autonomously] within three years.” - Elon M. probably 2026
I wonder if it's a lack of talent? Lack of investment?
Might happen, but certainly not in his lifetime unless we discover an asteroid headed directly towards earth...
It's what happens when Elon jumps into the k-hole and convinces himself that because he owns a company that successfully did a thing, his genius will make those companies do an even better thing. He's wrong. And he can stay wrong for years and decades even.
Starship is too big for orbital payloads, and too heavy to go beyond orbit. Yes and only if it actually achieve target payload capacity, it takes 15 refueling missions to refuel to do anything other than an orbital mission. If it doesn't achieve target payload capacity, it's cooked.
Same with most top Tesla execs since he changed political sides.
That's pretty high turnover for a company with RSU's tying people in seats