Redeploying Fable 5(anthropic.com) |
Redeploying Fable 5(anthropic.com) |
The party will be short-lived.
I think the 5x subscription is here to stay - I'd bet they make money on that from lots of people not using it.
The 20x is already unavailable in Teams plans.
And yes, after the IPO.
This isn't said out of naiveté or the idea that companies won't cheap out, but at some point – if access to models for defense is broadly available enough – we have to take a step back and say, "Aggressively insure your code against attack with AI on your side, because after <date> the other side will just _have_ AI."
I feel like something lost in a lot of the discussion around mythos and fable is that computer security absolutely has a substantial defender's advantage. It is indeed possible to ship e.g. surfaces that would be super resilient to attack (e.g. no unnecessary open surfaces, etc.) modulo category-shift attacks like RowHammer, etc.
Besides, just making sure that more people in the world actually have access to non-lobotomized models, this is _necessary_ if open source is (hopefully) going to continue to progress and if jailbreaks aren't totally vanquished.
I bet it'll continue to be messy at the frontier for the foreseeable future as society gradually wakes up to the consequences of strong AI.
I have the sense that this limited usage model will persist, Opus at its current token price will gradually be phased out, and eventually the cost of these models will be unsustainable and impractical.
I’d rather not play this game anymore and seek out more reliable providers which may provide less capable models but aren’t going to gradually kneecap my plan or rug-pull me.
Frankly I’m much less concerned with sheer model capability these days and more interested in harnesses. Claude Code is not the best on the market, and I think there’s a lot of exploring and learning to do in that arena.
The whole Fable debacle has dramatically changed my perspective on the market and what I want from it/who I should support.
It’s so expensive, though. Useful interactively in coding agent but boy if you have a kind of task that Fable can do in an agentic loop that Opus can’t then you’re in a good place. Doubtless the frontier will move forward. These kinds of “problems of the future” are great to have solutions for.
And for an interactive agentic loop, not using Fable is just missing out on something. There’s no lock-in there.
This is generally true, but there are some providers offering inference at relatively stable prices. They aren’t Opus-tier models, but some appear to be at or close to Sonnet 4.5 or so. For much of the work I do, this is fine.
Essentially if you aren’t at the frontier, you can find cheaper tokens that aren’t about to be rug-pulled or decommissioned on a whim.
disappointed but not surprised
That is nice advertising for Kimi, huh?