That's only a potential crisis for those who have made concrete investments.

On the use side, the 'cost' of AI spans more than two orders of magnitude. Looking at recent models (<6mo) with reasonable performance (intelligence index >= 45) on OpenRouter, the output cost ranges from $50/MTok (Fable) to $0.153/MTok (DeepSeek Flash 0731).

From the perspective of a user of LLM/agent assistance, there's very likely a range where the benefits outweigh the costs.

If the ROI for the model developers isn't there, then that just impairs the future trajectory of the field. Current models are just bits that aren't going anywhere, and as long as they can be served (in inference) above their marginal cost they will continue to be so-delivered.

All other things being equal, increasing the speed of some part of the development process will increase the overall pace of development. However, By Amdahl's law that increase will be sublinear, and that is why we should take "pull requests" as an imperfect metric.

We also don't get to pick the form that 'better technology products' take. While we'd probably like to keep cost(/effort) and complexity constant and increase robustness and performance, the market equilibrium might be 'worse is better' and reward whiz-bang features and lower effort.

But more importantly: isn't what you call "intent" just a series of optimization goals? You want your code to satisfy the constraint of being correct™, while also maximizing various other goals like being maintainable, easy to understand, having few lines of code, as little tight coupling as possible, etc. Goals that often conflict, but when given two implementations you could likely tell which hits the better tradeoff (in your engineering experience)

Those are all things that theoretically - with a tight enough specification and enough compute - a constraint solver could solve. No human intent necessary.

The issue is more that we can't fully specify all those side goals, and even if we could the LLM would struggle following them. A classic paperclip maximizer problem (where nobody told the paperclip maximizer to keep the planet inhabitable and all the other side conditions we implicitly assume)

So I wonder whether, in your experience, the results you've seen, could have improved by providing sufficient context? - or what context was given.

I.e. if you have the agent that same context, as one of your colleagues would have/require to solve a problem.

If can put properly engineered intent in the prompt that is verifiable, it works wonders. Anything that can defaults to the llm doing its way, you're right, it just can't converge to good, not with proper constraints.