last "supper" el nino was 2014/15 and localy there was water effect snow comming of the Bay of Fundy that just didn't stop, and at one point I called the dog off the roof as he simply walked up the snow bank to check things out. I am getting ready now and hope to have a simple plan in place to sit things out. water effect snow happens when colder hummid air hits warmer open water, and will produce a blizard without actual clouds as the whole thing happens horizontaly and is often hyper local, but can produce truely prodigious amounts of snow. Zero atlantic hurricane weather so far, but a pause in the wind sheer keeping them down could happen without notice, and basicly everybody should be doing there due dilligance for whatever the local extreams can be going forward.

And yet our climate change denialists insist its just weather, and that Net Zero is the economic devil.

Im an environmental scientist and engineer with substantial disaster management and policy experience.

One or two very large events can totally eclipse the cost to economy of reducing emissions and focussing on long term stable low emission power. Those very large events are becoming more common. A couple of years back we ran a multi jurisdictional exercise about a high end cyclone hitting the local major city. Even with 4 days warning there was insufficient time to evacuate the entire population of several million, and rehousing was an almost unsolvable nightmare. That city is not cyclone ready or hardened, but the climate models enable high category events travelling where they were previously quite unlikely.

Discussions:

Super El Niño Keeps Growing as New Forecasts Reach Record Territory Ahead Winter

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49313428

Climate change is strengthening El Niño, coral records suggest

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49475404

The Strongest El Niño Ever Forecast and the Hunger It Will Leave Behind

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49281960

Oceans hit highest temperature on record

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49424606

Yup, and it's only going to keep getting worse.

Put the sulfur back in the maritime fuel.

Going to be very bad for pacific coral reefs.