So yeah, for now, it’s all ethereal. It’s going to get real all of the sudden, just like AI hit the hockey stick in 2026.
I would say in 50 years max this is a solved problem. I estimate 30 years and would go down as early as 20 years.
AI security will be perfect in 5 years, it's in good shape already - my agents have never hacked anybody, those lab LARP-ers better learn something about security and isolation.
> you upload it to the robot who is sitting in the factory
You assume no guardrails, in that case even script kiddies can do more damage than AI.
They’re delusional and have never stepped foot out of the tech world.
My read is these folks are too high on their own stash
At some point they must recognize we are in the "boy who cried wolf" tale, right? You cannot go on for years spreading FUD about how AI is so dangerous and have none of it materialize. The growth is looking a lot more tame than their "high on their own stash" anxiety is letting is on to believe
An earlier version of ChatGPT (2 or 3 iinh) was too dangerous to release, yet here we are several version later, and with open weights far more capable
why should we believe the fears they tell us today when the ones they told us about in prior years never happened?
The businesses that matter are all standing fine.
It’s too cringey.
This is 100% on OpenAI.
If you're working with these companies, you should reasonably be able to get the code to perform offline audits. If you can't get the code, you probably shouldn't try to pen test it.
The moment OpenAI as a company and its managers individually become liable, problem will magically disappear.
The corporations and government said the same thing about encryption in the 90s. It was dangerous and only they could be trusted to regulate it. Turns out encryption was much better for society when open and available for free to everyone. It's a false dichotomy they present us with, open weights is the way we don't end up in 1984
"Dangerous model that nobody is accountable for" still have someone paying those massive amounts of compute and electricity it consumes. There is someone accountable for that.
In case of actual hackes that happened, OpenAI and Amtropic. They should stop pointifucating about other people being the danger. They themselves are the perpetrators here.
Massively fine these two companies and make their CEO legally responsible and problem will be much smaller.
Seriously, it's the same with US accusations about the threat China poses to other countries while being the primary weapons dealer of the world and bombing whomever we want for whatever reason we want to fabricate. The US government can do a lot more to me than the CCP, so they are way more adversarial in my calculations than the commies.