Observations of an Internet Middleman(blog.level3.com) |
Observations of an Internet Middleman(blog.level3.com) |
That doesn't seem right to me.
If you're buying residential it's safe to assume you're purchasing a burst-able speed and downloads/uploads aren't going to sustain that for hours on end.
Much in the same way that a Utility Company probably isn't gathering enough water for everyone to be maxing their pipes 24/7, residential ISP's don't operate under the assumption that every consumer will have maxed their connection at the same time, and they shouldn't have too. Smart traffic shaping and peering arrangements gives ISP's room to compete.
If consumers could afford a dedicated 35x15 connection they'd have a T1. When you're buying copper it's safe to assume it's going to be over saturated.
The real problem is ISP's for the most part don't compete. They zone of sections for eachother and rack in as much dough as they can. Consumers aren't informed about the quality of different types of connections vs others, and buy based off the cheapest Mbps down/up they can get.
That's not what's happening, though. What's happening is that the ISPs have not provisioned enough capacity to serve the actual aggregate demand at peak times. The hydraulic analogy would be if water pressure dropped every day between 0800 and 0900 because everyone was having their morning shower. That would not be acceptable to customers, and nor is the situation with ISPs.
Cable providers have a large amount of capacity provisioned to their customers and are paid a fortune by their subscribers and municipalities, using the same network for data and cable services. They just want you to use their services as opposed to a competitor. Not only that they have turned the tables forcing content providers to pay them to deliver bits.
With respect the economics of a small ISP reselling transit aren't comparable to this situation.
http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/2012/01/06/144737864/forget-s...
funny how the blau.de "3.5G" connection is wildly faster and less latent than the cable modem connection. actually it's kinda sad: 5GB for €10/month?
Since this is HN: yes I realize that there has been substantial work subsequently, and that cacti/munin/nagios etc.. are more commonly used.
Netflix pays Level 3 and Cogent to connect them to Comcast's network. Comcast claims that only the Level 3 connection is saturated, and that Netflix is sending all their bandwidth over Level 3 because it's cheaper for them.
Doesn't Level 3 buy a contract from Comcast that says "we get to send this much data per month"? If Netflix (or Level 3) tries to push more data through that, which causes congestion, it seems like a contractual fact that Comcast is either holding up their end of the bargain or not.
If that's true, and assuming that Comcast is transferring the contractually agreed upon part, isn't this actually Netflix and Level 3's fault? Isn't it reasonable to assume that Netflix would need to either use another entry point into Comcast's network, or build one?
If Netflix/Level 3 congest one entry point, so movies stream slowly for Comcast users, it doesn't seem like Comcast is being unneutral, in the sense of packet inspection and routing based on content/source.
The problem seems upstream from the last mile networks, and it's very unclear to me whose fault it is, and if this even has anything to do with net neutrality at all (it doesn't seem to).
Please correct me where I'm wrong, I'm sure I am!
Comcast is playing the monopoly card against what is an oligopoly of backbone providers. Comcast isn't strategically as well positioned as their actions would indicate.
It is one thing for Comcast to have degraded Netflix service. It is a different thing to present their customers with access to only half of the Internet .
Comcast cripples customers internet services to extort money from companies connecting Comcast to the internet for free.
The current system is pretty straight forward.
Level 3: Server(Who Level 3 Charges) -> Level 3 -> Comcast -> End User
Comcast: End User(Who Comcast Charges) -> Comcast -> Level 3 -> Server
Now Comcast wants to charge everyone in the chain that isn't them. They are attempting to do this by degrading (or at the very least not upgrading) their services for their customer.
The techno-libertarians that try to defend this nonsense are going to sink the whole ship and make every pay to receive even less.
But though they are a large ISP they are not dominant, and their peering with Level3 is actually quite good... which is why I tunnel most of my connection to my server (the route to which happens to be through Level3) so I can get usable internet.
It really sucks to be able to download an iso from some server in the US at 2 MB/s, but seeing small Imgur gifs load frame by frame, or Github repos cloning at 20 kB/s.
Telefonica in Spain might be a reasonable guess. Ono the cable company isn't huge.
I think Telecom Italian is dominant in Italy and there is virtually no cable at all so that would be my guess.
* http://www.golem.de/news/level-3-sechs-grosse-internetprovid...
* http://www.welt.de/wirtschaft/article117963991/Bei-Europas-T...
However, you must remember that every single packet that Level 3 sends to the Comcast network is a packet that was requested BY A COMCAST CUSTOMER. Level 3 isn't just deciding to send a bunch of traffic over Comcasts network, they are sending the data requested by Comcast customers to that network.
This is an important distinction, and is usually part of all of these 'settlement-free' peering arrangements. In agreeing to peer with Level 3, I am sure Comcast has an agreement that they will not send any traffic to Comcast's network that is not actually destined for a Comcast customer. Now, if Level 3 were sending traffic to Comcast and expecting Comcast to route, for free, that traffic to another 3rd part network, that would NOT be kosher, and Comcast could fairly ask for either money or for Level 3 to stop sending that traffic to them.
Level 3 is ONLY sending the traffic to Comcast that Comcast is requesting; it is THEIR customers who are creating this demand for Level 3's customer's content. Comcast told their customers that for $X per month, they would get Y amount of internet bandwidth, which will in almost all cases be traffic originating from a non-Comcast network; that is just the nature of the internet. Even though Level 3 is willing to send the data that Comcast's customers want to the Comcast network for free (settlement free), Comcast is instead refusing to accept all the traffic that their own customers are requesting and demanding additional payment to provide the service they already sold and are paid for.
This still misses the mark.
Netflix creates a service on Level3 that Comcast customers want. So Netflix/Level3 are responsible for making a product that people want to use, and Comcast customers are responsible for wanting to use that product and increasing bandwidth use. Neither Level3 nor Comcast want to pay more money just because Netflix and Comcast customers want to use more tubes, so both Level3 and Comcast wash their hands of any responsibility for the networks they both run.
In a very real sense, both Level3 and Comcast are equally responsible for the increase in traffic [in this case]. Yet neither seem to accept their share in the cost. If it's because it's hard for Level3 to prove, they should put up some money to shore up the connection, and then write a public letter to Comcast customers telling them how Comcast is shorting them and to get angry.
(Sadly, many customers have no alternative provider, so their only option would be to quit the internet, and nobody's going to do that)
Level 3 doesn't buy the connection from Comcast. Comcast buys a connection from Level 3. Comcast needs to do this because they're selling a connection to the "Internet" to their customers, not a connection to the servers Comcast owns, and to other Comcast customers.
Comcast's paying customers are requesting data from the Internet, data that Comcast doesn't have on its network. To get there those bits travel over Level 3's (or Cogent, or another major provider) network. The issue at hand is not one of Level 3 (or Netflix) trying to PUSH data onto Comcast's network. It is one of Comcast's customers trying to PULL data from Level 3, over a connection that Comcast refuses to upgrade.
If you had two truly distinct cable options, say Comcast and TascCom. Your friends with Comcast say Netflix sux, low quality, lots of problems. Your friends with TascCom say netflix is awesome, great HD content, too bad there's only like 8 3D movies! You'll sign up for TascCom. Comcast's board will get angry they're losing customers, and fix their interconnects. But it's all a dream, there is no TascCom, there's only Comcast.
Disclaimer: The blog I'm about to post was linked from Comcast's blog. They claim he is independent, I know nothing about him.
"Netflix could use multiple providers to connect to ISPs and could also use third party CDNs like Akamai, EdgeCast and Limelight, who are already connected to ISPs, to deliver their traffic. In fact, this is how Netflix delivered 100% of their traffic for many, many years, using third-party CDNs. Netflix likes to make it sound like there is only one way to deliver videos on the Internet when in fact, there are multiple ways."[1]
It would seem to me that if Comcast is using all the bandwidth they've purchased from Level 3 than it's a simple reality for them that they'll need to increase that bandwidth or they'll see reduced service. I don't see why this is explicitly either side's problem. It seems like it would be great if they could figure out a mutually beneficial situation, but I guess I fail to see the moral hazard. If Comcast doesn't want to upgrade their network who cares? Barring, of course, the monopoly argument, I see no moral hazard here.
I also see no reason that this has anything to do with net neutrality. It seems like Netflix is simply so big they have to act more like an ISP than they used to.
[1] http://blog.streamingmedia.com/2014/03/netflix-level-3-telli...
Only, I'm sure, because it's untenable to do that. Yet. Cable execs really, really like their model of charging people for channels; it lets them extract maximum revenue. If they can do that with the Internet, they will. It may be difficult to do that on the consumer side yet, but what they're doing with Netflix is basically a complicated way to sneak more Comcast charges on to their customer's bills. In this case, via the Netfilx bill.
EDIT: I understand it's an emotional issue but it's true. You can only send packets and hope others will talk to you.
Comcast is connected to the internet through 'settlement-free' peering. Comcast can command this because they have grown large enough to trade access to their customer base for access to the transport network's data. Comcast would like to sell direct access to their network to the content providers, but would like to see more money for the service that the content providers are willing to pay.
Comcast has allowed (through inaction of normal peering upgrades) the interconnections to Level-3/Cogent to become saturated. The primary data on those interconnections is data that competes with the normal content that Comcast is used to delivering to their customers. Cogent and Level-3 offer less expensive bandwidth than their competitors. This is because of their lack of incumbent telephony models, and being dedicated fiber bit pushers.
Comcast is claiming that it is too expensive for them to deliver the service levels to their customers that their customers have contracted. Comcast is demanding that the companies providing the data (not the transit network delivering the data) must pay to have their traffic delivered the last mile. Simultaneously to crying that their internal networks are saturated and require upgrade, the MSOs are offering products that allow their customers to use the local provider's network (for locally sourced content) without incurring billing penalties or usage caps.
(veteran employee of a transit network involved)
The exception to this is if Comcast wants to charge rent to the internet to have access to Comcast customers. Then it is in Comcast's corporate interest to let peer connections saturate and then charge upstream content providers rent to remove the congestion.
A pretty ballsy move for a company (who's assets are stretched out over thousands of miles and in plain sight) to attempt to extort the entire planet. ;)
I like the cut of your jib.
What's happening here is that Level3 and other transit providers are starting to see their industry be squeezed by the big ISPs. If you have 5 ISPs that serve 90% of the customers in the US, and 10 service providers that generate 90% of the bandwidth, why do transit providers even exist? I think they see their market share decreasing significantly as more of their customers follow in Netflix's footsteps, so they're trying to pile on and start a grass-roots outrage like Netflix did. Problem there is that most people haven't heard of Level3, so it makes it more difficult to get people behind them.
And you are completely right about the whole Netflix issue being Netflix and Level3/Cogent's problem. Level3 and Cogent have business models based on selling transit acquired through settlement-free peering. Settlement-free peering assumes that bandwidth usage is roughly symmetric: when it's not symmetric, the side sending more bandwidth has to pay. Level3's position here seems a bit hypocritical: if they had a customer that was routinely sending data at a 20:1 ratio, they would charge that customer for sending more bandwidth. But they're expecting the big ISPs not to do the same to them?
If peering is untenable because it leads to outcomes like the one we have now (Netflix) where it is fundamentally unfair to one party (assuming that is the case) or the other, then we're all screwed. There might not be a fair solution that still manages to resemble the Internet.
In one alternative, the Comcasts and the AT&Ts are smited and no longer exist, and Level 3 goes into the consumer internet business, connecting things end-to-end. That's not something we could trust them with. Same if Comcast replaces Level 3.
In another, Netflix continues to pay the extortion (if it is that) which we have little doubt that Comcast will continue to ratchet up the price for. Or Comcast has to shoulder that burden alone (and can't charge customers extra for doing so, without people screaming "net neutrality!").
Or maybe services like Netflix just can't exist in such an environment. Also a bad outcome.
Or god help us, internet infrastructure is nationalized, and the same people who manage our roads and traffic lights take over.
Am I blowing this out of proportion?
Are you talking about on this graph?
http://blog.level3.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/route_info...
Because all the numbers I see are showing about a 5:1 or 6:1 imbalance.
> ...transit providers are starting to see their industry be squeezed by the big ISPs.
No.
> ...why do transit providers even exist?
Because it's untenable (and inefficient) for Comcast to build a separate fiber network to every service provider (e.g. to start providing a service on your version of the internet, you'd have to build your own network connection to Comcast, and then again to Verizon, and again to AT&T, and again to every other ISP on the planet).
Take another look at the L3 network map from the blog post:
http://blog.level3.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/network_ma...
If you think transit providers are purely middlemen for the sake of middlemen then you're basically saying that every service provider should build out a network of that same size in order to reach every ISP.
> Settlement-free peering assumes that bandwidth usage is roughly symmetric
No. It assumes that the benefit to each network is roughly symmetric. Put another way, if Netflix videos only degrade on Comcast's network, Comcast's goodwill with its own customers will increase as a result of increasing transit/peering capacity. To a normal company, that's a tangible benefit to the agreement enough to make it worthwhile.
Comcast empirically does not care about the goodwill of its customers, which is not surprising given its monopoly of local markets. If customers had alternatives to Comcast and it became known that Netflix worked on one ISP and not the other, customers would switch ISPs en masse.
I've never understood why this is - especially in a case like this, where the sending side is sending because (the customers of) the receiving side explicitly asked for it.
Does it assume that?
Since about the time of the web browser, we've had consumer-focused ISPs. Consumer traffic is mostly small requests for large replies. But as the article suggests, Level3 has a lot of settlement-free peering with consumer ISPs. My belief is that being settlement free isn't about equality of packets, but equality of demand. E.g., I have a lot of servers made to serve consumers; you have a lot of consumers wanting access to my servers; let's just split the costs.
In any case, given that those Comcast packets are mostly requesting all those Level3 packets, it seems much fairer to charge Comcast disproportionately, as its their customers who are creating the demand.
Even if you want to privileged "sending" as being more charging worthy since you control what you send— in this case it's Comcast customers that have requested those bits, hosts connected to the level3 network are providing them.
Networks like comcast have built out imbalanced networks which likely wouldn't exist without their access to monopoly infrastructure. Practically anyone they peer with except other consumer broadband monopolists is going to be unbalanced.
Obviously Cogent would be willing to cut off their own nose to spite their face, but Level3 plays a much more sane game.
Hardball by coordinating efforts of the backbone providers is somewhat thwarted by the coordinated efforts of the MSO's, some with their own backbones (VZ, AT&T). Cutting off Comcast would also invalidate a number of (government) customer contracts that require service 'to the full Internet'.
Whenever their performance drops towards part of the internet, their value proposition gets lower. You can view the value chain as
(residential customer) <-> Comcast <-> Level 3 <-> (hosting customer)
Both Comcast and Level 3 have customers, in opposite ends of the currently centralized internet. The status quo is that each provider charges to the customers on their end. Comcast (and each of the other non-net-neutral ISPs) are eyeing the revenue stream on the other end of the pipeline. This revenue stream has historically not been owned by the last-mile ISP.Level 3 and equivalents, by cutting off non-performant interconnects will hurt their own customers, of course. However, they are just speeding up the same effect being applied softly over time, by Comcast and equivalents. A softly failing interconnect moves revenue over to last mile ISPs, thus permanently lowering Level 3's value proposition. By failing the interconnect sharply, instead of softly, they actually improve the steady state of the system, in general (good side effect), and in particular (the real objective).
What's more, the utility company is getting water through a pipe that goes to a middleman near a river, but that pipe doesn't have enough capacity to deliver the water necessary for all utility customers to take their morning shower at the same time. So what does the utility company do? It blames the middleman and the river for "sending too much water"... and demands payment from them!!!
In communications networks monopolies are natural, especially in last mile networks, and will exist absent any government action. That in some cases some governments have mildly strengthened these monopolies in exchange for commitments to cover otherwise unprofitable areas, its not really that important this subject.
more developed tools exist but networks are not interested (by in large) in integrating/developing new ones because they fool themselves into thinking these are good enough.
They are actually going to court for this false advertising.
The widespread availability of high quality ADSL does seem to do a good job of keeping them honest though. I've been a pretty satisfied customer of them for many years now.
Virgin also resell the same ADSL that everyone else does (complete with BT line rental).
Free is tier 2, and they are very much behaving like the ISPs the article is talking about, just not with Level 3.
I live in a midwestern suburb. In the land area that my house uses, you'd have 10-20 families in Madrid. Our idea of dense shopping is a two story mall, not stores under every residential area. And don't get me started with mandated parking spots in strip malls that aren't ever half full.
So unless you live in Manhattan or downtown Chicago, you don't see the same levels of population density.
Single fami
It seems like Level3 is ready and willing to go. Comcast is just leveraging their monopoly to get out of standard peering practices. They know that by causing a fuss the lookie loos will show up and say "oh my, a controversy, lets split the difference!" Bonus points if you can work in the phrases "right balance" and "fair share."
If it's because it's hard for Level3 to prove, they should put up some money to shore up the connection, and then write a public letter to Comcast customers telling them how Comcast is shorting them and to get angry.
An open letter after giving into their demands? Did you just tell me to go fuck myself? This is that open letter. If they do it after giving into Comcast the lookie loos will be all the more ready and willing to pull "compromises" out of their ass that don't solve anything but making them happy with themselves.
To go where? Not to their checkbook.
First they mention in the article how "usually" networks agree to upgrade parts of their network to handle additional interconnects, and don't pay service fees to each other.
Then they mention saturated ports, not giving any indication as to whether they have even attempted to expand capacity on their side.
We are also left to believe that this nonspecific, non-detailed post is not only completely genuine, but that it leaves out no details. Giving Level3 the benefit of the doubt, and not going based on my own enterprise peering experiences where Level3 consistently showed the worst reliability and performance, it's clear they're only showing you a small slice of the work involved to agree on peering and put in place the upgrades necessary, on both sides.
> An open letter after giving into their demands?
An open letter after actually spending their share of what they need to invest in the upgrade. Which, it appears, they have not.
> Did you just tell me to go fuck myself?
No... Where did you read that?
> If they do it after giving into Comcast the lookie loos will be all the more ready and willing to pull "compromises" out of their ass that don't solve anything but making them happy with themselves.
....You really don't know the meaning of the word compromise? One of them has to meet the other half way. Ideally both of them would do this at the same time, but in the bizarre reality of this business, both of them are being children, neither wanting to move first, it would seem from this writing. Too bad this is just one tiny public PR stunt and probably not the whole story.
Also, what it would solve is the issue at hand, and it would make everyone - both providers, consumers and customers - happy. If you can't see that, perhaps you have the same narrow-minded political pessimism that's causing this mess to begin with.
This whole letter is thinly-veiled fodder for consumers to bitch at their ISPs with. Even the comparisons, like the ones at the end about industry satisfaction, are just meant to feed into the stereotype of the evil broadband provider. The comparison is ridiculous, because broadband providers are held accountable for every network and server fuckup on the entire internet, as well as the general faults of an aging physical network that spans a giant continent.
I guess you missed this part then:
"Six of those 12 have a single congested port, and we are both (Level 3 and our peer) in the process of making upgrades – this is business as usual and happens occasionally as traffic swings around the Internet as customers change providers."
How can they upgrade the capacity on their side? Suppose they drive 100GBit to the router that connects to Comcast. They can still only push 10GBit to Comcast if Comcast only make a single 10GBit port available. What they tell us is that they are ready and willing to upgrade their side and Comcast are not ready/willing to upgrade theirs.
> ....You really don't know the meaning of the word compromise? One of them has to meet the other half way. Ideally both of them would do this at the same time, but in the bizarre reality of this business, both of them are being children, neither wanting to move first, it would seem from this writing. Too bad this is just one tiny public PR stunt and probably not the whole story.
"Compromise" is a very bad long term strategy with extortionists, blackmailers, kidnappers and jackasses in general. "Compromising" with someone being an jackass is likely to lead to more jackass behaviour in the future.
Maybe we make Cable companies share their last mile networks like we did with DSL?
Not really. The cost of the interconnect between e.g. Comcast and Level 3 is immaterial in the cost of operating a network. The only reason there is so much contention there is that it's a choke point where Comcast can try to put up a toll booth.
Which killed investment in DSL. Who wants to spend billions on infrastructure they are forced to lease out at wholesale rates to competitors?
Due to using many distinct flows it also tends to not be very TCP friendly and takes a fairly unequal share of the bandwidth. And while users will give up and do something else when their interactive service becomes slow, a congested torrenting host keeps torrenting.
They're right, it is business as usual, and you do have to change ports as traffic flows change. This has nothing to do with Level3 and Comcast's (apparent?) failure to reach consensus on a peering agreement, or if either of them has invested anything in it.
- Between 1 to 20 ports between Level3 and that peer
- 1 of those ports is congested
- They are handling the upgrade together, which is business as usual.
Then there are 6 other peers with the following situation: - Between 1 to 20 ports between Level3 and that peer
- Almost all of those ports are congested
- The peer refuses to augment capacity
"Congestion that is permanent, has been in place for well over a year and where our peer refuses to augment capacity. They are deliberately harming the service they deliver to their paying customers. They are not allowing us to fulfil the requests their customers make for content."No, they have 6 peers who have a single congested port each. It's a different port for each peer (the article says nothing about multiple peers sharing a single port), and I can't tell from the article if the single port for each peer is the only port they have with those peers. It might be, or it might not. Whether it is or not is irrelevant to the key point, which is that these peers are cooperating with Level 3 to upgrade capacity, which is not true of the 6 peers who have had permanent congestion for over a year.
The assumption is that if you're sending traffic to a customer, you are being paid for that activity through subscription fees, ads, donations, etc. That packet costs the receiver some minuscule amount to process. Even though it was requested by the ultimate receiver, the ultimate sender is only sending the packet because they make money from doing so. The middlemen only pass on the packet because their costs are covered and they make a small amount of profit. This setup also ensures that if the packets aren't being monetized in some way (i.e. if it's a DDoS) that there's a financial incentive to stop them.
Last time I checked ISPs where heavily monetizing packet receiving to the tune of 5-10x what netflix monetizes from me. For typically slow, shitty service bundled with cable TV or phone I do not want.
That's true for hot-potato routing, but CDNs generally use cold-potato routing.
As for monetization, both Netflix and Comcast are getting paid by their respective customers.
What it comes down to is Comcast has no incentive to ensure its routes to various Internet transit providers are GOOD if they're not monetizing them. Why should Comcast be treated differently than any other transit provider and not allowed to monetize its transit services? Netflix wasn't paying Comcast, so Comcast had no responsibility to help Netflix make its own service better when there were other ways Netflix could have alleviated the bandwidth situation (e.g. buy transit through another company).
There are many ways to skin an onion, and full-scale nationalisation is probably the least likely outcome (cash-strapped governments don't need another headache right now). In fact, the real problem here is that one player is leveraging a monopolistic position; remove that position, and the Free Market should start working its magic again.
Serious question, how would one find the exact sum with which Comcast should be compensated in the absence of a functional market?
Thankfully, that company and environment are gone. Let's not recreate them.
I also used a bit of hyperbole in the "why do transit providers even exist" part; transit providers do still need to exist to provide access for the long tail. But Level3 and the like do see their market shrinking as the big fish who currently pay them for transit either directly or indirectly move more bandwidth to direct connections with the big ISPs. It is definitely starting to squeeze them.
As far as the benefit to each network goes, that's hogwash. It's not how the contracts are written because you can't quantify "benefit". You can quantify packets sent/received. Netflix needs to make money just as badly as Comcast does, so the fact that their service is crappy is much more their problem than it is Comcast's. Netflix can always purchase transit through another company that's not Comcast.
Historically, eyeball networks have paid for transit from backbone providers. As market consolidation occurred, the cable providers with government granted physical monopolies were able to negotiate for better settlements with their transit providers.
Eventually, the cable companies condensed with the major telephone companies. Some of the new mega companies have backbones and can use their own networks for transit (Verizon, AT&T, ...) others (Comcast) were able to use their size and access to their customers to negotiate largely settlement free exchanges.
However it is important to note that ALL eyeball networks have 1:5 to 1:20 demand ratios. This is the nature of content versus consumption. There is no new news regarding these ratios, and they are not particularly germane unless attempting to engineer the flows.
The real and pertinent issue is that Comcast has not lived up to the 'timely upgrade' clauses in boilerplate (NDA'd) settlement-free peering agreements. Clearly they have an advantage to "defect" from the standard cooperation model. Netflix has chosen to change providers several times, and recently provided data on whom they pay for service.
...you can't quantify "benefit"....
Isn't that the entire purpose of an economy?
Can you qualify this a bit? What's the actual expect cost to Comcast here to fix the issue? General ballpark?
But there are also typically shared costs for networks to
interconnect. Each party pays to augment its own network
to allow for more traffic exchange (the expense to augment
capacity is not significant for either party). And since
we often choose to interconnect in a third party data
center, the networks usually agree to share the cost of
the cross connects by paying for them on an alternating
basis.
I take that to mean the CapEx is insignificant and the recurring expenses are shared equitably. What's notable about that is that Comcast isn't even sitting down at the table to negotiate equitable terms for upgraded capacity. They're out and out refusing to upgrade without direct payment.Edited to add: It's certainly true they are not rewarded for the marginal packet, but then neither is Netflix (given their subscription based model).
The American Society of Civil Engineers estimates that we have $3.6 trillion in delayed maintenance and underinvestment of our core infrastructure (water, sewers, bridges, power lines, etc): https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2013/04/08/infr-a08.html.
I'm not one of those people that believes we shouldn't have public infrastructure, but I do think you have to be cognizant of the trade-offs involved. Take something like Amtrak. Amtrak has an almost $9 billion maintenance backlog on the Northeast Corridor: http://usa.streetsblog.org/2011/06/15/house-plan-to-privatiz.... The NEC is the only part of the whole system that generates an operating profit. A private company would shut down the rest of the network, and try to make the NEC service as attractive as possible for customers. But in a regime where politics decides where the money goes, the operating surplus generated by the NEC instead goes to funding money-losing lines in the rest of the country.
Road building, too, is the result of distorted incentives. As an urbanite who doesn't like to drive, I would spend $0 on highways designed to get suburban commuters into the cities, and spend that money on public transit instead. Surbanites, of course, feel differently. Who decides how that money is allocated? Not the market, but the political system, which at the national level systematically over represents rural and suburban votes.
The situation with telecom companies isn't ideal, but I don't think the dynamics of the telecom market are amenable to the kind of broad political consensus necessary for a successful municipal service. Take water, for example. Everybody needs roughly the same amount of water, and is satisfied with a relatively similar level of water quality. Meanwhile, I'd bet 95% of people would be perfectly happy with 5 mbps service, while a small minority wants gigabit. Do you think the political system is set up to make that small minority happy? If there is anything to learn from how municipalities handle public infrastructure is that when you put it to a vote, the voters will spend as little as possible to get the minimum acceptable level of service. That's exactly what happened to our power and water infrastructure.
Historic and present demand are terrible ways of predicting future demand when it comes to technology. Most people don't know what they want because they're living in yesterday, but wait five years when they see what their early adopter neighbors are doing, then suddenly everybody would be happy with gigabit service, and who needs to upgrade to 10GbE anyway?
You could easily have said that nobody would want more than 128kb/s ISDN, because nobody does anything more intensive than download music, check e-mail, and watch flash animations. Faster speeds made newer services, services that are used by very ordinary people (like Netflix, Hangouts, Skype) possible.
Why? Because utility monopoly. Why? Because lawyers and lobbyists and clueless and corrupt politicians.
Any question?
The government should, but they wouldn't lease them out to competitors, but providers who happen to be in competition with each other. Make the last mile a utility, like sewers.
The problem is that there is only a market solution for the Level 3 customers' side; if Level 3 can't accept all the traffic that their customers are sending it, they have other options with who to connect to, as there are other backbone providers. It is in their financial interest to maintain their network capacity, or their clients will go elsewhere.
Comcast, on the other hand, has no market pressure. If they can't handle all the data that their customers are trying to access, their customers have no other option. They are stuck with Comcast.
And therein lies the rub; what both Level 3's and Comcast's customers want is access to each other. Neither company can provide that service on their own; Comcast doesn't have a global network that can send data around the world, while Level 3 doesn't have a last-mile network that connects to all the end users. However, only Level 3 has to worry about losing its customers to a competitor. Comcast can essentially hold all parties hostage; they can demand payments from every party: end users, Level 3, and Level 3's customers. Of course, holding everyone hostage hurts everyone, including their own customers; however, since their customers have no other options, they aren't really in danger of losing them. They can hold out longer than Level 3 can, because if Level 3 doesn't agree to pay Comcast's ransom, someone else might, and Level 3 will lose their customers to whoever pays Comcast's ransom.
Everyone except Comcast.
This article in particular is making the argument that at the level that L3, Comcast, AT&T, Netflix and others are operating, it's almost always mutually beneficial to peer. The article also makes the point that the capital expenditure is negligible compared to the benefit to both sides.
The moral hazard here is that Comcast is (shrewdly) taking the bet that their customers won't blame them for what appears to be Netflix's reduced performance. If there was actual competition in the local ISP space, customers would catch on that the performance is only worse on Comcast's network, but that's not the world we live in.
> Barring, of course, the monopoly argument, I see no moral hazard here.
You can't just ignore the monopoly argument. There's nothing inherently unfair about a monopoly, but if you use it to extort money from people then its no surprise that people call you out on it. In the Good Old Days, you'd see monopolies try to squash their competitors. This is more nuanced than that. Monopolistic-extortion-action-at-a-distance, if you will.
Customers pay Comcast with money to establish those links. If that's not "monetizing", what on earth is?
Comcast will get paid by their customers as long as the routes they pass traffic through are 'good enough'. They have a (near) monopoly on the last mile in many markets, so 'good enough' can mean both 'barely working' and 'better than any other option you've got' at the same time.
So, you're right, but so is the parent: Comcast has no financial incentive to provide any more than just enough bandwidth to keep you from calling the support line to complain or cancelling your contract in frustration.
Where's the rest of customer revenue going, if not towards network upgrades? Well, let's just say the Comcast Center (http://archrecord.construction.com/projects/bts/archives/off...) ain't paying for itself...
But Netflix might be the exception here right?
> You can't just ignore the monopoly argument.
You're right, I'm just trying to disambiguate it from the net neutrality argument, which doesn't seem to actually be relevant here (as Comcast is treating all traffic through those links poorly, not just Netflix traffic). If it is truly about the monopoly, regulators have different (and thankfully more powerful) tools to change Comcast's behavior, whereas using net neutrality seems like a losing (and misleading) fight.
The mutual benefit still exists. Comcast benefits from peering with Netflix because it allows Comcast customers to access Netflix. Comcast is just playing chicken because they know their monopoly position allows them to hold out longer than peers with actual competitors.
> You're right, I'm just trying to disambiguate it from the net neutrality argument, which doesn't seem to actually be relevant here (as Comcast is treating all traffic through those links poorly, not just Netflix traffic).
The network neutrality issue is that Comcast is intentionally causing congestion on all the links that Netflix traffic could possibly use. The traffic for Comcast's own competing video service offerings don't have to traverse the congested links, nor does traffic from anyone who Comcast provides with a separate uncongested link in exchange for a toll or some other business consideration. That's practically the definition of a network neutrality issue.
The former is what Level 3 does, the latter Netflix.
Netflix is not infrastructure, they're not peers, they're Level 3 clients.
Comcast's monopoly status is greatly impacting their negotiating position, and is core to this issue.
I mean, I'm trying to get a deal worked out with Netflix where they send me some information. For various technical reasons, this deal needs to go through a couple middlemen. Literally the only middleman I can hire is refusing to work out a deal with them that doesn't give an unusual benefit to that middleman (while Netflix's middleman is offering the standard package), and is screwing me in the process. I'd take literally any other middleman if I could, but this particular middleman has political connections, and stops that from being possible.
Since I have 2 connections I definitely have competition in my area. (Wireless is another option.) So I don't get why if a connection has issues, it's always the DSL one, and always with certain other sites.
When Comcast let links to peers get saturated it is a network neutrality issue. Those services they provide will perform and competitors will not. Those who pay for access will also perform better than those who don't pay. It is by definition not neutral.
I think Level 3 should straight up shut off their peering agreement with comcast and watch how all the last mile customers blame comcast for the issue, until such time as comcast stops playing games.
If you get to set the narrative such that one side or the other as the only ones who gain from the interconnection, this becomes trivial, but the hard facts are that both sides want the interconnection, but to try as hard to pretend that the other side is the more desperate one in the deal.
They do now that a deal has been worked out:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-switch/wp/2014/02/23...
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-switch/wp/2014/02/23...
Not if they're watching Netflix. As I read the deal, Comcast and Netflix will be directly connected, so if you're a Comcast customer watching Netflix, your packets only traverse Comcast's and Netflix's networks; no third parties are involved.
Not upgrading their connection is not the same thing as intentionally causing congestion. Especially when the connection would be fine if it weren't for the massive share of Netflix traffic.
If we're all all drawing too much data over the network, upgrade it and charge us more! I have no higher bandwidth options than Comcast's cable internet service. Huge lack of competition in California.
Companies don't give you what you want because: 1) its expensive; 2) they can make higher returns with that money elsewhere. You can blame lawyers and lobbyists all you want, but the bare fact is that what Facebook paid for WhatsApp would pay for all the lobbying capacity of the top 10 DC lobbying firms for 60 years. That's a really weak argument to lean on when the interested tech players have so much money and lobbying is so cheap.
Just look at what Google is doing with Google Fiber. They're demanding massive regulatory concessions, and still don't seem to be positioning it as a money-making business. If building fiber was a good use of capital, why would internet companies sit on the sidelines and demand someone else do it?
The reason why is because companies have to work with local governments to get construction permits to build out the access network. There are huge barriers here that prevent individuals and small companies from actually getting that work done. One of those barriers is the fact that even local governments have problems with bribery and corruption (you don't say!).
Google Fiber is demanding those massive regulatory concessions because they must! They're asking governments to bend over backwards for them because they recognize how hard it is go get through the bureaucracy. That's why they put on this big campaign to get the people to talk to their local representatives and essentially beg to be saved from the monopolies.
Take for example, Google Fiber versus Sonic.net. Sonic's been trying to build out their fiber network for a long time. However, since they're small it's much more difficult for them to work with the local governments and as a result their fiber rollout has been slower despite consumer demands.
The regulatory hurdles that Google is demanding relief from are (largely) not the result of lobbying. They're the result of the dysfunction of municipal politics. Right now, NYC's mayor is attacking Verizon because poor people can't afford FIOS (at $75/month). He's hired a civil rights lawyer to get into the issue. Is it any wonder companies aren't interested in building fiber? Is this the result of lobbying (or corruption and bribes) or predictable political forces?
At bottom, none of the screeds on this subject address the simple fact: the internet companies aren't rushing to build fiber, or lobbying to get permission to build fiber, or publicly demanding deregulation so they can build fiber. They're trying to get Comcast, Verizon, etc, to build fiber. To this day, Google positions Google Fiber as an effort to shame the ISPs, not a worthwhile business venture standing alone. What does that tell you about the monetary incentives at play?
In areas where something actually competitive is available, cable companies rush to improve bandwidth, or offer two-year contract deals at undercut prices to try to outlive the competition, then jack the prices back up when the competition goes bankrupt.
Some people use DSL because they're happy with DSL. DSL can be had for cheaper, and many people do not need the higher speeds of cable. HN readers and other geeks who dominate these online discussions assume that everyone is like them and that they need the fastest speed possible while sneering at any available alternative that is "just" 7 megabits. 7 megabits gets you instant page loads on any website. Sure it't not as good if you want to stream four movies to your house at once...but not everyone needs that.
The fact is that Comcast is right when they point out that they do face competition, not only from DSL but also from other services such as wireless. That you and many other people do not like these alternatives does not mean they do not exist. Many people find them to be perfectly adequate and for them the other services are the best value.
Isn't that basically what caust1c said? It looks like the two of you are in violent agreement. :-)
Lobbying is when big companies spend a lot of $ to try to get their way.
The dysfunctional municipal politics rayiner refers to is when politicians pander to various groups of voters to get votes.
Reference, please? When I look up the financials, Google's quarterly gross profits are running about $9B, and Comcast's about $11B.
You said it right there. Look further down the financials. Comcast net income is $1.8B, Google is $3.4B. Time Warner Cable (I assume that's what's meant by TMV, although their ticker is TWC) is $0.4B.
Look for net income:
https://www.google.com/finance?fstype=ii&q=NASDAQ:GOOG